Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Biggleswade Town		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.42
	5.75	4.6	1.38
	6	4.75	1.42
	4.99	3.95	1.58
	6.39	4.72	1.44	Watch
	6.64	4.7	1.39	Watch
	6	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (4.98)	4.57 ↑ (3.93)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
15.7%

Draw
20.2%

Alfreton Town
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

23.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Biggleswade Town - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Fewster B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
47', 0 - 2, Abbey J. ⚽,
63', 0 - 3, Day J. ⚽,
75', 0 - 4, Fewster B. ⚽,
77', 0 - 5, Day J. ⚽,
79', 0 - 6, Waldock L. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Biggleswade Town is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfreton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Marlow - Biggleswade Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Bishops Stortford - Biggleswade Town	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Spalding United - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Biggleswade Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Biggleswade Town - Bedford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWT
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
05.10.24	Alfreton Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Alfreton Town - Spalding United	2:1 penalties ✺
14.09.24	Spalding United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTT

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