Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Spalding United		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.45	6.1
	1.49	4.15	5.67
	1.44	4.69	6.17	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.75
	1.39	4.33	6.61
	1.46	4.33	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)	4.29 ↓ (4.67)	6.01 ↓ (7.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
63.6%

Draw
21.3%

Banbury United
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Spalding United - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bendle A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Stokoe L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Wreh C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 13).

Spalding has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Banbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Banbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

Recently, Banbury has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spalding is the clear favorite.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16:23	-7	13

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Banbury: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Quorn - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Spalding United - Harborough Town	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
10.01.26	Worcester City - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Barwell - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Redditch United - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Banbury United - Spalding United	4:1
01.02.25	Banbury United - Spalding United	2:1
19.10.24	Spalding United - Banbury United	2:0

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