Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 19

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Biggleswade Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.63
	4.1	4.1	1.63
	3.95	4.65	1.65
	4.1	4.38	1.69	Watch
	4.51	3.92	1.61
	4.1	4.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.09)	4.16 ↑ (3.76)	1.64 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
22.1%

Draw
22%

Leiston
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

23.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Biggleswade Town's form might have worsened.

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Biggleswade Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Biggleswade Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 3.

Biggleswade Town is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:17 (average 2.3:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 3.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
01.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Halesowen Town	0:1 ✺
25.02.25	Biggleswade Town - Stamford	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Harborough Town - Biggleswade Town	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Biggleswade Town - Sudbury Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
15.03.25	Leiston - Barwell	3:4 ✺
08.03.25	Sudbury Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Leiston - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	AFC Telford United - Leiston	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Leiston - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.01.22	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	1:0
26.10.21	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	3:2
29.09.20	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	7:4
English FA Cup
22.09.20	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	5:1
English Southern League Central Division
17.09.19	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	0:4
05.03.19	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	1:2
03.11.18	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	3:0

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