Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.5	2.08
	3	3.53	2.11
	3.01	3.74	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	2.99	3.46	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.82)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
30.7%

Draw
26.1%

Spalding United
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Leiston - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Frostick J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Sano Sani A. M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Armin A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Spalding is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spalding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spalding could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Leiston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
14.04.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Quorn - Leiston	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Leiston - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Redditch United - Leiston	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLLW
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Spalding United - Stratford Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	St Ives Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1
15.02.25	Leiston - Spalding United	2:1
22.10.24	Spalding United - Leiston	1:2

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