Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Billericay Town		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.5	8.75
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.24	6.3	8.32
	1.24	6.3	8.32
	1.23	5.6	9.5
	1.22	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	5.78 ↑ (5.54)	9.15 ↑ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
74.2%

Draw
15.8%

Concord Rangers
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

16.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

11.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billericay Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Billericay Town - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Billericay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Concord will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Cerulli A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Cerulli A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Billericay won 0.

Billericay is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concord has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Billericay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Billericay is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Billericay won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Billericay won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.03.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Hornchurch - Billericay Town	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Hastings United - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Billericay Town - Hashtag United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL
- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.24	Concord Rangers - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Lewes - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Concord Rangers - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Concord Rangers - Potters Bar Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.02.24	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	2:1
English National League South
02.01.22	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	0:0
26.12.21	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	1:3
02.01.21	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	0:1
26.12.19	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	4:1
19.01.19	Concord Rangers - Billericay Town	2:2
07.08.18	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	1:1

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