Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Hastings United		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.72
	3.75	3.7	1.77
	3.88	3.81	1.76
	4.22	3.66	1.7
	3.75	3.7	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (5.03)	3.69 ↓ (4.33)	1.74 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
23.4%

Draw
24.6%

Billericay Town
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

20.5%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hastings United's performance.

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Billericay Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hastings United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Billericay Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hastings United - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
9', 0 - 1, Johnson M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Rodari D. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Akinwande F. ⚽,
27', 1 - 3, Cerulli A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 4, Akinwande F. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 5, Merrifield F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Hastings is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Billericay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Billericay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hastings have a series of home games.

In this match Billericay is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.03.25	Hastings United - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hastings United - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Dartford - Hastings United	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Hastings United - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hastings United - Hendon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Hendon - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
08.03.25	Billericay Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
22.02.25	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Billericay Town - Hastings United	1:1
09.03.24	Hastings United - Billericay Town	1:1
21.10.23	Billericay Town - Hastings United	2:0
18.04.23	Hastings United - Billericay Town	2:2
01.11.22	Billericay Town - Hastings United	1:0

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