Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Concord Rangers		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.2	1.38
	6.5	4.5	1.38
	6.35	4.83	1.41
	6.35	4.83	1.41
	6.92	4.5	1.37
	6.5	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↑ (4.28)	4.56 ↑ (3.5)	1.39 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
14%

Draw
20.1%

Carshalton Athletic
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carshalton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Concord Rangers - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carshalton will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, Babajide O. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Bell J. (Own goal),
90+4', 1 - 2, Babajide O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Concord has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carshalton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carshalton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carshalton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carshalton to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Concord won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Lewes - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Concord Rangers - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Concord Rangers - Potters Bar Town	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Cheshunt - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.03.24	Cheshunt - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Carshalton Athletic - Concord Rangers	2:0

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