Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Lewes		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.33	5	7
	1.37	5.43	6.25
	1.38	5.38	6.13
	1.57	4.2	4
	1.33	4.8	7.34
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.77)	4.94 ↑ (4)	6.35 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
66.9%

Draw
18.6%

Concord Rangers
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

17.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lewes's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concord Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lewes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Day H. (Pen),
35', 1 - 1, Whelpdale Ch. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Ogunwamide O. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Lewes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concord has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lewes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lewes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.03.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Enfield Town - Lewes	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Horsham - Lewes	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWL
- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.24	Concord Rangers - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
19.03.24	Concord Rangers - Potters Bar Town	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Cheshunt - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Chatham Town - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.23	Concord Rangers - Lewes	4:1

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