Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Herne Bay

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	6.75
	1.51	4.68	5.14
	1.62	3.75	4.5
	1.35	5.05	6.75
	1.35	5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.77)	4.62 ↑ (3.88)	5.93 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
64.4%

Draw
20%

Herne Bay
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Billericay Town's performance.

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herne Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billericay Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herne Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Billericay Town - Herne Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Billericay is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herne Bay is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Herne Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Billericay is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Billericay won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.02.23	Lewes - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Billericay Town - Haringey Borough	3:1 ✺
14.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Billericay Town	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Canvey Island - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Billericay Town - Enfield Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLWL
- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Herne Bay	3:0 ✺
25.02.23	Herne Bay - Aveley	1:2 ✺
22.02.23	Kingstonian - Herne Bay	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hornchurch - Herne Bay	5:1 ✺
14.02.23	Herne Bay - Margate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.22	Herne Bay - Billericay Town	2:2

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