Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Herne Bay		Aveley

	1	X	2
	4.4	4	1.55
	4.71	3.94	1.63
	4.7	4.05	1.6
	4.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	4 ↓ (4.32)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
19.9%

Draw
22.8%

Aveley
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

21%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

20.8%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Herne Bay - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Herne Bay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aveley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aveley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aveley is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Herne Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.02.23	Kingstonian - Herne Bay	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hornchurch - Herne Bay	5:1 ✺
14.02.23	Herne Bay - Margate	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Herne Bay	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Herne Bay - Potters Bar Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTWL
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.02.23	Aveley - Lewes	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Potters Bar Town - Aveley	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Kingstonian - Aveley	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Aveley - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.09.22	Aveley - Herne Bay	1:1

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