Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.4	6.06
	1.37	5.4	6.06
	1.3	5	7
	1.36	4.97	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.19 ↓ (5.22)	6.52 ↓ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
68.2%

Draw
17.7%

Margate
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

17.7%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

16.8%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Billericay Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cerulli A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Peters O. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Asamoah R. ⚽,
33', 4 - 0, Stevenson B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 5 - 0, Stevenson B. ⚽,
69', 5 - 1, Kamara M. ⚽,
83', 5 - 2, Greenhalgh B. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 3, Bowman V. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Billericay won 4.

Billericay in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Margate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Billericay is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Billericay won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Billericay won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.04.24	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Billericay Town - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Haringey Borough - Billericay Town	0:6 ✺
01.04.24	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.04.24	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Margate - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
11.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Margate	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Kingstonian - Margate	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Margate - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.23	Margate - Billericay Town	1:3
15.04.23	Billericay Town - Margate	3:0
02.12.22	Margate - Billericay Town	0:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Billericay Town - Margate	2:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.04.18	Margate - Billericay Town	1:2
06.01.18	Billericay Town - Margate	1:1
14.04.15	Billericay Town - Margate	4:3

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