Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Binéfar		Borja

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.72	3.31	4.42
	1.73	3.31	4.42
	1.69	3.5	4.57
	1.7	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	4.4 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binéfar
53%

Draw
26.5%

Borja
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

21.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Borja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Binéfar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borja than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Montesinos J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Binéfar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borja is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Binéfar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Binéfar is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Binéfar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
10.03.24	Binéfar - Épila	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Caspe - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Binéfar - Belchite	5:4 ✺
18.02.24	Fraga - Binéfar	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Binéfar - Ebro	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTL
- SD Borja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.03.24	Borja - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Épila - Borja	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Borja - Caspe	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Borja - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Belchite - Borja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.11.23	Borja - Binéfar	0:1
15.12.19	Borja - Binéfar	1:0
07.10.18	Borja - Binéfar	3:1

Binéfar - Borja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide