Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	5.33	3.69	1.53
	5.85	3.92	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.85)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
16.3%

Draw
24%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.7%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biolog-Novokubansk Progress than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Biolog Novokubansk Progress - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dyachkov A. (G) 5. Avetikov V. 27. Balkizov R. 6. Borisov A. 31. Dudayev Y. 8. Izosimov R. 15. Livadnov E. 11. Malysh M. 10. Minosyan G. 3. Piriev M. 4. Punegov D.	47. Filippov M. (G) 9. Abakarov M. 25. Basyrov S. 24. Budagyan Y. 90. Deljkin A. 3. Khagur R. 13. Kirilenko V. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 10. Magomedov Z. 8. Panamarev N.
Substitutes
2. Kargin N. 17. Korotkov O. 22. Kucheyko V. (G) 24. Mamkin I. 7. Morgunov A. 29. Polyakh D. 14. Sarkisov A. V.	96. Adaev V. 18. Alikberov T. 74. Kazimov A. 21. Klimov N. 19. Rudenko V. 16. Tyurin M. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biolog won 0.

Biolog is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chernomorets is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernomorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chernomorets is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Biolog won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 12-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Biolog won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
17.09.23	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - FC Sevastopol	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Dynamo Stavropol	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
09.09.23	Dynamo Stavropol - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - SKA Rostov	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Druzhba Maykop - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov	5:3 ✺
09.09.23	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
28.05.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	3:0
01.04.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	2:2
29.05.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	2:2
06.11.21	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:2
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	Biolog walkover
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
28.03.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:0
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	4:0

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide