Match Info

FNL - Round 18

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.13	3.22
	2.29	3.11	3.23	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.74)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.12 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
39.5%

Draw
30.4%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.7%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yenisey (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (C) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 5. Emerson 3. Tses Y. 33. Maslovskiy A. 21. Ivanov E. 6. Batyrev A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 11. Khashkulov A.	32. Matyusha M. (G) 18. Nikolaev O. 4. Kirsch I. 59. Syshchenko M. 13. Puzanov S. 77. Zarypbekov E. 8. Tarba Z. 31. Kasimov T. 5. Krachkovskii A. 69. Rodionov I. 9. Aliev S.
Substitutes
1. Antipin S. (G) 55. Bogatyrev N. 8. Kanaplin A. 49. Kenfak O. 19. Krotov V. 77. Ogienko R. 75. Okladnikov A. 24. Pogosov A. 9. Ratkovic L. 23. Savin N. 44. Tikhonov M. 17. Zazvonkin I.	7. Antonov A. 11. Gurchenko D. 44. Kukharchuk I. 19. Pomeshkin K. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 90. Sutugin I. 81. Tonevitskiy E.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Evseev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Syshchenko M. ↓, Tonevitskiy E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tses Y. ↓, Bogatyrev N. ↑,
57', Batyrev A. ↓, Pogosov A. ↑,
57', Kasimov T. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Khashkulov A. (Pen),
68', Krachkovskii A. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
71', Gyurdzhan A. 🟨,
73', Khashkulov A. ↓, Ogienko R. ↑,
73', Ivanov E. ↓, Ratkovic L. ↑,
78', Mazurin A. 🟨,
78', Tarba Z. 🟨,
86', Maslovskiy A. 🟨,
90', Mazurin A. ↓, Okladnikov A. ↑,
90+1', Ogienko R. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 3.

Yenisey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chernomorets is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yenisey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	KAMAZ - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	5:0 ✺
19.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
02.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban-Kholding	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
12.10.25	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2
06.04.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:3
14.09.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1
18.05.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2
23.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1
Club Friendly
27.01.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2

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