The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 38.2%
Draw 31.4%
KAMAZ 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
33.7%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
34.2%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
73. Shtepa M. (G) 18. Nikolaev O. 4. Kirsch I. 3. Pliev Z. (C) 13. Puzanov S. 7. Antonov A. 99. Morozov K. 8. Tarba Z. 10. Zhigulev I. 9. Aliev S. 69. Rodionov I.
31. Anisimov A. (G) 7. Ayukin R. (C) 18. Tananeev D. 3. Marugin D. 21. Yudintsev G. 11. Apekov R. 2. Khubaev D. 53. Deryugin A. 28. Sultonov M. 59. Motorin D. N. 9. Karaev D.
Substitutes
11. Gurchenko D. 31. Kasimov T. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 25. Lozhkin V. 32. Matyusha M. (G) 19. Pomeshkin K. 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 77. Zarypbekov E. 17. Zhilkin G.
14. Abdullaev S. 17. Abdullahi S. 15. Burko M. 19. Golybin R. 6. Kalistratov T. 27. Manuylov R. 5. Ratnikov S. 79. Semyonov V. 24. Shamkin D. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G) 10. Zashchepkin R.
Coaches
Evseev V.
Akhmetzyanov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Sultonov M. 🟨,
13', Puzanov S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Zhigulev I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Deryugin A. ↓, Abdullahi S. ↑,
46', Karaev D. ↓, Shamkin D. ↑,
49', Yudintsev G. 🟨,
52', Yudintsev G. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
61', Aliev S. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
64', Tarba Z. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
64', Rodionov I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
72', Ayukin R. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
75', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
80', Khubaev D. ↓, Solodukhin A. ↑,
82', Zhigulev I. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
88', Shtepa M. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3.
Chernomorets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
KAMAZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
KAMAZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).