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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 35.7%
Draw 31.3%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
31.2%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
30.4%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Chernomorets (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 62. Karpov V. 4. Bozov N. 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 64. Lanin O. 8. Kul R. 5. Malyarov K. 77. Gongapshev A. 15. Samoilov D. 50. Golubev A.
32. Matyusha M. (G) 81. Tonevitskiy E. 4. Kirsch I. 3. Pliev Z. 18. Nikolaev O. 77. Zarypbekov E. 99. Morozov K. 11. Gurchenko D. 7. Antonov A. 9. Aliev S. 69. Rodionov I.
Substitutes
1. Ismagilov A. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
40. Baksheev N. 22. Gorelov P. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 25. Lozhkin V. 13. Puzanov S. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 8. Tarba Z. 10. Zhigulev I. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Buloychik A.
Sarkisov E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gurchenko D. ↓, Puzanov S. ↑,
58', Morozov K. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
61', Malakhov A. ↓, Kosogorov A. ↑,
62', Bozov N. 🟨,
69', Aliev S. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
72', Golubev A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
72', Gongapshev A. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
78', Rodionov I. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
79', Antonov A. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
84', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
84', Kul R. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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Mitrov T. (G) 
Zarypbekov E. 
Gorelov P. 
Lozhkin V. 
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