Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 8

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Averyanov K. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.57	5.12
	1.67	3.6	5.05	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	4.86 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
54.9%

Draw
26.1%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

31.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akron Tolyatti's performance.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 7. Apekov R. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 13. Khubaev D. 52. Konyukhov V. 8. Pesegov E. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)	1. Frolkin D. (G) 24. Budagyan Y. 90. Deljkin A. 17. Fomin D. 5. Garaev V. 15. Grechkin A. 77. Korobov D. 4. Kumburovic N. 14. Maklakov I. 19. Rudenko V. 11. Saaduev S.
Substitutes
9. Azarov V. 14. Bokoev M. 20. Dimoski B. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 6. Makarov S. 50. Nagaev D. (G) 10. Palienko M. 19. Sangare D. (G)	9. Abakarov M. 96. Adaev V. 7. Antonov A. 27. Gurchenko D. 3. Khagur R. 13. Kirilenko V. 21. Klimov N. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 10. Magomedov Z. 8. Panamarev N. 16. Tyurin M. (G)
Coaches
Kaleshin E.	Zyryanov K.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Akron won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
27.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Leningradets - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - Arsenal Tula	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
27.08.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.02.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1

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