Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Shepherds Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Birkenhead United		Miramar Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.4	Watch
	1.88	4.21	3.25	Watch
	1.78	4.98	3.25
	1.76	4.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)	4.34 ↓ (4.75)	3.34 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkenhead United
51.3%

Draw
21.2%

Miramar Rangers
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

19%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

20.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Miramar Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miramar Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Birkenhead United - Miramar Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
64', 1 - 3, ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 5).

Birkenhead is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Miramar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Birkenhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Birkenhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Auckland United - Birkenhead United	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Birkenhead United - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Birkenhead United	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Birkenhead United - Wellington Olympic	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Western Suburbs - Birkenhead United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Miramar Rangers
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Miramar Rangers	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
10.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
07.10.22	Miramar Rangers - Birkenhead United	2:4

Birkenhead United - Miramar Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide