Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 11

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Shepherds Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Birkenhead United		Western Springs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.75	2.58	Watch
	2.2	4	2.72
	2.24	3.96	2.7	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.63
	2.19	3.7	2.67
	2.2	3.66	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)	2.66 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkenhead United
41.5%

Draw
24.2%

Western Springs
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Western Springs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Springs than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Birkenhead United - Western Springs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 🟥,
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Western Springs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birkenhead won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Birkenhead United - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Auckland United - Birkenhead United	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Birkenhead United - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Birkenhead United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Western Springs AFC
New Zealand National League
29.11.25	Western Springs - Auckland City	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Western Springs	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
12.10.24	Western Springs - Birkenhead United	1:3
New Zealand Chatham Cup
06.07.24	Western Springs - Birkenhead United	3:4 penalties

Birkenhead United - Western Springs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide