Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Birkirkara		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.75
	1.4	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.43	6.13
	1.35	4.2	7
	1.4	4.25	6.78
	1.4	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.31 ↑ (4)	6.63 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
65.2%

Draw
21.1%

Santa Lucia
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.6%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zapytowski M. (G) 99. Ciolacu A. 27. Coppola A. 77. Diakite 91. Maxuell Samurai 24. Pena E. 5. Pepe E. (C) 20. Satariano A. 10. Zammit A. 11. Zammit K. II 42. Zibo S.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 10. Nagamatsu T. 33. Patrick 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 20. Virano G.
Substitutes
7. Bravo 21. De Filippis M. 70. Elouni O. 15. Fenech K. 22. Gambin M. 12. Gauci L. (G) 23. Micallef M. 25. Micallef N. 19. Sargent K. (G) 92. Tasic V. 4. Zammit G.	16. Formosa C. (G) 22. Hulk 4. Johnson M. 6. Letherby D. 11. Lucas Sena 8. Ojo T. 27. Piazza A. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 55. Xerri S. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Chetcuti B.	Zinnari A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 2.

Birkirkara is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Birkirkara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Birkirkara is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Birkirkara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Birkirkara - Attard	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Sirens - Birkirkara	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Birkirkara - Gżira United	3:2 ✺
13.12.23	Gudja United - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
Maltese Super Cup
08.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.24	Gżira United - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Santa Lucia - Mosta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.01.23	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	2:0
11.09.22	Santa Lucia - Birkirkara	0:4
27.02.22	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	2:3
21.11.21	Santa Lucia - Birkirkara	2:0
10.01.21	Santa Lucia - Birkirkara	0:0
09.11.19	Santa Lucia - Birkirkara	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.18	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	1:0

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