Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday


	Gudja United		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4	1.42
	7	4.2	1.4	Watch
	7.46	4.18	1.43
	7.46	4.18	1.43
	7	4	1.36
	7.5	4.2	1.37
	6.8	4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.07 ↓ (7.58)	4.11 ↓ (4.21)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
12.9%

Draw
22.2%

Birkirkara
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

21.9%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

17.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birkirkara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Gudja United - Birkirkara Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gudja United will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Birkirkara will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birkirkara: 29.6% – 90.4%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sozer Y. (G) 9. Angulo M. 10. Attard S. 5. Brenner 88. Esposito M. 39. Grech Z. 22. Mendes R. 17. Mensah G. 30. Micallef K. (C) 11. Muchardi M. 77. Toure A.	1. Zapytowski M. (G) 7. Bravo 99. Ciolacu A. 77. Diakite 22. Gambin M. 3. Mariani D. 25. Micallef N. 24. Pena E. 5. Pepe E. (C) 8. Yannick Y. 11. Zammit K. II
Substitutes
21. Attard J. 28. Cassini M. 8. Cipriott S. 19. Conti M. 14. Cutajar R. 12. Gatt L. 7. Lorenzoni G. 26. Pisani J. (G) 90. Spiteri J. (G) 23. Tabone N. 99. Zammit G.	23. Agius N. J. 27. Coppola A. 6. Djurisic M. 70. Elouni O. 15. Fenech K. 91. Maxuell Samurai 10. Mbong P. 20. Satariano A. 17. Shchepetkin N. 16. Sylla A. (G) 42. Zibo S.
Coaches
Zammit J.	Tedesco G.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 0.

Gudja United is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Birkirkara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birkirkara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Birkirkara is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
03.12.23	Naxxar Lions - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Gudja United - Balzan	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gudja United - Floriana	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLTT
- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Super Cup
08.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	4:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.12.23	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Balzan - Birkirkara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
11.02.23	Birkirkara - Gudja United	3:1
08.10.22	Gudja United - Birkirkara	1:1
04.04.22	Birkirkara - Gudja United	3:0
06.02.22	Gudja United - Birkirkara	0:1
16.10.21	Birkirkara - Gudja United	2:0
28.11.20	Birkirkara - Gudja United	3:0
04.11.19	Birkirkara - Gudja United	2:3

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