Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Santa Lucia		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
	8.75	4.33	1.31
	9	4.5	1.3	Watch
	8.86	4.84	1.32
	8.86	4.85	1.32
	9	4.6	1.25
	9.3	4.7	1.28
	8.8	4.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.94 ↑ (7.25)	4.6 ↑ (4.33)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
10.2%

Draw
19.8%

Hamrun Spartans
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

21%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

20.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Lucia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Celio (G) 5. Arthur 3. Ellul M. 22. Hulk 10. Nagamatsu T. 33. Patrick 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 6. Vella M. 20. Virano G. 55. Xerri S.	1. Bonello H. (G) 27. Bjelicic O. 28. Corbalan J. 23. Djuranovic U. 25. Eder 91. Emerson M. (C) 98. Jonny 10. Mbong J. 7. Montebello L. 17. Nenov Y. 12. Prsa R.
Substitutes
15. Bradshaw A. 21. Carbone J. 1. Duzzi Nulli S. (G) 4. Johnson M. 19. Mizzi S. 8. Ojo T. 27. Piazza A. 29. Valletta J. 16. Vella D. (G) 9. Wagner 14. Xuereb D.	4. Borg S. 9. Bugeja F. 14. Elionay 22. Marchetti F. (G) 30. Paintsil S. 45. Sani H. 5. Scicluna K. 77. Vella G. 3. Vella K. 92. Zammit T. 19. Zerafa J.
Coaches
Zinnari A.	Zauri L.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0.

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamrun is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamrun is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
10.12.23	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Santa Lucia - Mosta	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Valletta - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Santa Lucia - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Sirens - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTLT
- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
13.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Maltese Super Cup
08.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	4:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.12.23	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
15.04.23	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:1
04.12.22	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	2:0
06.03.22	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
28.11.21	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	3:0
24.01.21	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	2:2
27.09.20	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:4
01.11.19	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	1:1

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