Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN’S CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 19

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Birmingham City LFC		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	9
	1.27	5.3	10.09
	1.26	5.3	10.09
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.28	4.8	9.35
	1.28	4.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.57)	4.92 ↑ (3.86)	9.16 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
71.3%

Draw
18.7%

Lewes
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City LFC's performance.

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lewes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City LFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lewes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birmingham City LFC - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Devlin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Walker C. ⚽, Moore J. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lewes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lewes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
20.03.24	Reading - Birmingham City LFC	0:4 ✺
17.03.24	Birmingham City LFC - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
10.02.24	Leicester City - Birmingham City LFC	6:2 ✺
English WSL 2
04.02.24	Watford - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL
- Lewes LFC
English WSL 2
17.03.24	Lewes - Watford	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Blackburn Rovers - Lewes	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Lewes - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Sunderland - Lewes	4:3 ✺
04.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Lewes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
10.09.23	Lewes - Birmingham City LFC	0:0
05.02.23	Lewes - Birmingham City LFC	0:4
21.08.22	Birmingham City LFC - Lewes	0:0

Birmingham City LFC - Lewes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide