Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Birmingham City U21		Crewe Alexandra U21

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	3.8
	1.7	4.4	3.81
	1.72	4.4	3.88	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.5
	1.68	4.15	3.83
	1.68	4.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	4.28 ↓ (4.46)	3.75 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U21
54.2%

Draw
21.4%

Crewe Alexandra U21
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

20.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crewe Alexandra U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra U21 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Birmingham City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Birmingham U21 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crewe U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Birmingham U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham U21 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U21
English Premier League Cup
11.02.25	Birmingham City U21 - Stockport County U21	1:4 ✺
English Professional Development League
07.02.25	Hull City U21 - Birmingham City U21	5:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
31.01.25	Leeds United U21 - Birmingham City U21	3:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
24.01.25	Birmingham City U21 - Coventry City U21	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
20.01.25	Birmingham City U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL
- Crewe Alexandra U21
English Professional Development League
10.02.25	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Sheffield United U21	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Wigan Athletic U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	4:1 ✺
03.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Peterborough United U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Barnsley U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
21.10.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	4:2
02.04.24	Birmingham City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:1
06.11.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:3
23.03.23	Birmingham City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:0
31.10.22	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:2

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