Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Birmingham Legion		Oklahoma City Energy

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.59	3.55	4.8
	1.67	3.77	5.01
	1.63	3.7	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)	3.68 ↓ (3.78)	4.94 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
56.9%

Draw
24.7%

Oklahoma City Energy
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

14.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Oklahoma City Energy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham Legion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oklahoma City Energy than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oklahoma City Energy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birmingham Legion - Oklahoma City Energy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Oklahoma City has the most likely position - 6 (30.04%), has project points - 39, has currently - 30, has a chance of playoffs (21%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
11.09.21	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
01.09.21	Sporting Kansas City II - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Birmingham Legion - Tulsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWL
- Oklahoma City Energy
USL Championship
12.09.21	Oklahoma City Energy - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Sporting Kansas City II - Oklahoma City Energy	3:0 ✺
01.09.21	Memphis 901 - Oklahoma City Energy	0:1 ✺
29.08.21	Oklahoma City Energy - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Oklahoma City Energy - Louisville City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.06.21	Oklahoma City Energy - Birmingham Legion	1:2
26.05.21	Birmingham Legion - Oklahoma City Energy	1:0

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