The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham Legion 49.5%
Draw 27.5%
Tulsa 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
26.8%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.2%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham Legion's performance.
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham Legion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Birmingham Legion - Tulsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 27. Washington B. 77. Brown N. 11. McCartney D. (C) 10. Shashoua S. 18. Antwi S. 8. Cole K. 16. Vassell P. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
28. Jacomen D. (G) 47. St.Clair H. 25. Clarke A. 15. Batista L. 20. Colli G. 4. Pierre D. 13. Kocevski J. 12. Stauffer L. (C) 17. Sparks B. 14. Dorsey L. 8. Webber J.
Substitutes
26. Daley A. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 17. Williams R.
99. Adams N. (G) 91. Cissoko A. 10. Elmedkhar K. 22. Lukic S. 19. Pierre N. 27. Siranga Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Vassell P. ⚽, Tregarthen S. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Dorsey L. ⚽, Colli G. (A),
41', Batista L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Kocevski J. 🟨,
64', Webber J. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
64', Sparks B. ↓, Siranga Z. ↑,
68', Dorsey L. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
68', McCartney D. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
72', Clarke A. 🟨,
76', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
76', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
82', Williams R. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Vassell P. ⚽, Saucedo S. (A),
90+2', Siranga Z. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Williams R. ⚽, Ngoma S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Birmingham could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Tulsa - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Koleilat J. (G) 
Tregarthen S. 
Washington B. 
Brown N. 
Shashoua S. 
Antwi S. 
Cole K. 
Damus R. 
St.Clair H. 
Colli G. 
Webber J. 
Daley A. 
Cissoko A. 
Lukic S. 
