The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham Legion 23.6%
Draw 23.9%
Louisville City 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
24.3%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
20.1%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Birmingham Legion - Louisville City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 27. Washington B. 5. Hughes K. 11. McCartney D. 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 81. Ngoma S. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
12. Faundez D. (G) 2. McFadden A. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 21. Huerman Q. 8. Davila T. 19. Niang B. 13. Dia A. 25. Wilson J. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.
Substitutes
8. Cole K. 2. Duru L. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 7. Saucedo S. 16. Vassell P. 17. Williams R.
47. Akale M. 27. Davila E. 6. Duncan Z. 16. Moguel C. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G)
Coaches
Heaps J.
Bird S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Niang B. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Diarbian G. ⚽, Ngoma S. (A),
23', Koleilat J. 🟨,
30', Antwi S. 🟨,
32', Damus R. 🟨,
33', Heaps J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Niang B. ⚽, Huerman Q. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Niang B. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
46', Serrano R. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
55', Ngoma S. ↓, Duru L. ↑,
65', Shashoua S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
68', Huerman Q. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
82', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
86', Showunmi T. 🟨,
88', Dia A. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
88', Wilson J. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
90', Diarbian G. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Birmingham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Louisville City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
Louisville City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
Watch
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Koleilat J. (G) 
Tregarthen S. 
Washington B. 
Antwi S. 
Shashoua S. 
Pasher T. 
Damus R. 
Adams K. (C) 
Huerman Q. 
Niang B. 
Cole K. 
McIllhatton S. 
Vassell P. 
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