Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Bishops Stortford		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.87
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.1	3.88	3.02
	2	3.5	3
	2.06	3.54	3.02
	2.05	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.47)	3.62 ↑ (3.39)	2.99 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
44.5%

Draw
25.1%

Bedford Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bishops Stortford's performance.

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bishops Stortford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bishops Stortford - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Braithwaite W. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Blake R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Bishops Stortford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bedford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bedford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bedford have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bishops Stortford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Bishops Stortford - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Sudbury Town - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Bishops Stortford - Leiston	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Kettering Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Stratford Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Bedford Town - Halesowen Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town	4:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bedford Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Alvechurch - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.08.24	Bedford Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1

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