Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Bedford Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	3.5
	1.75	4	3.6
	1.78	4.37	3.36
	1.82	4.22	3.6	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.75	3.75	3.84
	1.75	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.48)	3.99 ↓ (4.38)	3.59 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
51.7%

Draw
22.8%

Hitchin Town
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

20.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hitchin Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hitchin Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Mensah C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Green J. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bedford won 1.

Recent matches Bedford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hitchin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hitchin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bedford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:17 (average 1.2:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town	4:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bedford Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Alvechurch - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Kettering Town - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Hitchin Town - Stamford	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hitchin Town - Harborough Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	0:0
13.09.22	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	3:0
Club Friendly
03.08.21	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	1:1
01.09.20	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	1:6
English Southern Premier League
10.02.14	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	6:1
27.04.13	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	1:4

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