Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 8

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday


	Bishops Stortford		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.88
	2.28	3.05	2.88
	2.45	2.97	3.2
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.38	3.08	3.04
	2.37	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.87)	3.02 ↓ (3.45)	2.98 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
38.9%

Draw
30.4%

Rushall Olympic
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bishops Stortford's form might have worsened.

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rushall Olympic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rushall Olympic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Bishops Stortford - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Rushall will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bishops Stortford: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
02.09.23	Chorley - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Boston United	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Spennymoor Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Farsley	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Brackley Town - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Rushall Olympic
English National League North
02.09.23	Rushall Olympic - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Gloucester City - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rushall Olympic - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Rushall Olympic - Scunthorpe United	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLL

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