Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Bishops Stortford		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.44
	5.75	4.1	1.43
	6.5	4.33	1.44	Watch
	6.6	4.26	1.49
	6.6	4.26	1.49
	6	4.2	1.4
	6.4	4.25	1.45
	6.6	4.6	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (4.29)	4.28 ↑ (3.6)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
14.6%

Draw
21.5%

Tamworth
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.2%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.7%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bishops Stortford's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Bishops Stortford - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: Tamworth will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bishops Stortford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bishops Stortford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tamworth is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
11.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Bishops Stortford - Alfreton Town	0:4 ✺
04.11.23	Bishops Stortford - Buxton	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Scunthorpe United - Bishops Stortford	6:1 ✺
24.10.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bishops Stortford	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL
- Tamworth
English National League North
11.11.23	Tamworth - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	South Shields - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Buxton - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Tamworth - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Tamworth - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

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