Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Bishops Stortford		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.18	3.58	1.83
	4.19	3.58	1.83
	4	3.6	1.7
	3.98	3.6	1.81
	3.85	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.57)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
22.8%

Draw
25.7%

Alfreton Town
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

25.3%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bishops Stortford - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bishops Stortford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfreton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
04.11.23	Bishops Stortford - Buxton	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Scunthorpe United - Bishops Stortford	6:1 ✺
24.10.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bishops Stortford	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Alfreton Town - Worthing	2:0 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Alfreton Town - Hereford	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

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