Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Tamworth		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.46	4.41	6.76
	1.45	4.41	6.76
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.4	6.25
	1.44	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.35 ↑ (4)	6.25 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
64%

Draw
21.2%

Gloucester City
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tamworth - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Gloucester will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3.

Tamworth is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tamworth have a series of guest games.

In this match Tamworth is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
21.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	Tamworth - Darlington	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWT
- Gloucester City
English National League North
21.10.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
31.01.17	Gloucester City - Tamworth	2:0
06.09.16	Tamworth - Gloucester City	3:1
20.02.16	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2
07.11.15	Tamworth - Gloucester City	2:2
08.12.14	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2
12.08.14	Tamworth - Gloucester City	2:1

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