The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 34.5%
Draw 30.1%
Leyton Orient 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
27.4%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
27%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackpool's form might have worsened.
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leyton Orient's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leyton Orient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Blackpool - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 24. Walters R. 4. Casey O. 3. Husband J. 6. Brown J. 22. Hamilton C. (C) 23. Anderson K. 7. Clarkson L. 26. Ashworth Z. 14. Bloxham T. 18. Taylor D.
12. Dennis W. (G) 2. James T. 6. Forrester W. (C) 4. Simpson J. 3. Morris J. 24. Levitt D. 15. Bakinson T. 11. Mitchell D. 10. Connolly A. 28. Clare S. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
9. Ennis N. 28. Finnigan R. 11. Fletcher A. 2. Lyons A. 46. Nwankwo O. 17. Randall J. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
22. Abdulai A. 33. Cahill K. (G) 16. Casey K. 14. Craig M. 17. Koroma J. 20. Perkins S. 25. Wellens C.
Coaches
Evatt I.
Wellens R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Taylor D. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 0, Dennis W. (Own goal),
45', Casey O. 🟨,
45+1', Morris J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bakinson T. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
58', Clare S. 🟨,
71', Bloxham T. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
76', Taylor D. ↓, Ennis N. ↑,
77', Levitt D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
77', Mitchell D. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
86', James T. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
86', Ashworth Z. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
87', Clarkson L. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
89', Clare S. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
90+2', Forrester W. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 0.
Blackpool is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Leyton Orient is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Blackpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Blackpool: Coulson H.
(Red Card)
Grant K.
(Ankle Injury)
Morgan A.
(Calf Injury)
Obafemi M.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Blackpool: Bowler J.
(Inactive)
Honeyman G.
(Injury)
Ihiekwe M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
We predict that Blackpool will win today's game, with odds of 2.58.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Leyton Orient: 0.83% Blackpool: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Leyton Orient
9
3
2
4
13:11
2
11
18
Blackpool
8
2
2
4
13:14
-1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Blackpool - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Leyton Orient - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.54%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.