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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 19.8%
Draw 23.8%
Sheffield United 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
27.9%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
27.5%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackpool's form might have worsened.
Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.7%
4.6%
84.7%
Blackpool - Sheffield United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sheffield United will win
(111 of 131 users predict this - 84.73%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.57% – 90.89%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Blackpool has the most likely position - 23 (13.85%), has project points - 50, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Utd has the most likely position - 1 (36.55%), has project points - 85, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a good chance of promoted (74%), has a chance of win league (37%).
This event has quality44, importance53, match rating49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Blackpool is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sheff Utd is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Sheff Utd is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackpool: Bridcutt L.
(Injury)
Gabriel J.
(Injury)
Thorniley J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Sheff Utd: Brewster R.
(Injury)
Coulibaly I.
(Injury)
Fleck J.
(Injury)
Norrington-Davies R.
(Injury)
O'Connell J.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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