The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 21.5%
Draw 26.7%
Sheffield United 51.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
28.4%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
28%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.
Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.4%
2.4%
93.2%
Wigan Athletic - Sheffield United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sheffield United will win
(232 of 249 users predict this - 93.17%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.04% – 96.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (11.94%), has project points - 51, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Utd has the most likely position - 1 (31.2%), has project points - 83, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a good chance of promoted (65%), has a chance of win league (31%).
This event has quality44, importance55, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Wigan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sheff Utd is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sheff Utd will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Wigan: Kerr J.
(Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Injury)
Pearce T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Sheff Utd: O'Connell J.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.
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