Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cardiff City		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.32	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.40
	2.77	3.55	2.41	Watch
	2.84	3.82	2.41
	2.74	3.73	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2.35
	2.8	3.73	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.5)	3.69 ↑ (3.47)	2.39 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
34.4%

Draw
25.8%

Sheffield United
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Cardiff City - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 5. Bielik K. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 8. Moylan J. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C) 45. Ashford C. 9. Salech Y.	1. Cooper M. (G) 25. McGuinness M. 5. Tanganga J. (C) 33. Baptiste J. 3. McCallum S. 11. Donovan R. 42. Peck S. 7. Rothwell J. 10. O'Hare C. 45. Bamford P. 9. Cannon T.
Substitutes
27. Colwill J. 39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 23. Scanlon C. 33. Tankiewicz R. 14. Turnbull D. 30. Tyrer H. (G) 16. Willock C.	22. Brereton Diaz B. 23. Campbell T. 17. Davies A. (G) 2. Doherty M. 34. Marsh L. 30. Norrington-Davies R. 27. Phillips K. 44. Riedewald J. 16. Shackleton J.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
4', Robertson A. 🟨,
4', 1 - 1, Cannon T. (Penalty Awarded),
7', 1 - 2, O'Hare C. ⚽, Bamford P. (A),
10', McGuinness M. 🟨,
33', Moylan J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 2, Ashford C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bamford P. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
46', Donovan R. ↓, Shackleton J. ↑,
58', Baptiste J. ↓, Norrington-Davies R. ↑,
65', Rothwell J. ↓, Riedewald J. ↑,
72', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
75', Peck S. 🟨,
84', Cannon T. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
85', Moylan J. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
85', Ashford C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
85', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
90', Bielik K. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.

Cardiff has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sheff Utd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.

Recently, Sheff Utd has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cardiff: Chambers C. (Knee Injury) Fish W. (Hernia) Lawlor D. (Muscle Injury) Osho G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Chong T. (Injury) One R. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Sheffield Utd: 0.54% Cardiff: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sheffield Utd	9	3	3	3	12:11	1	12
21	Cardiff	9	1	4	4	11:14	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Cup
25.08.26	Cardiff City - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Derby County - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Cardiff City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cardiff City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cardiff City - Roma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTWW
- Sheffield United
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Swansea City - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.26	Mansfield Town - Sheffield United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bochum - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.04.25	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	2:0
English FA Cup
09.01.25	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	0:1
English League Championship
21.12.24	Cardiff City - Sheffield United	0:2
15.04.23	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	4:1
12.11.22	Cardiff City - Sheffield United	0:1
23.04.22	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	1:0
04.12.21	Cardiff City - Sheffield United	2:3

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