Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday


	Blacks Power		UPDF

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.13	3.1	2.95
	2.2	2.88	3.1
	2.26	3	3.16
	2.18	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacks Power
41%

Draw
29.3%

UPDF
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacks Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for UPDF have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacks Power than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Blacks Power - UPDF Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Blacks Power will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). UPDF will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blacks Power: 13.8% – 69.6%.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).

Blacks Power is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UPDF has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blacks Power could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Blacks Power will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacks Power FC
Ugandan Super League
15.11.22	Maroons - Blacks Power	1:3 ✺
11.11.22	Blacks Power - Vipers	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Kampala City Council - Blacks Power	4:1 ✺
28.10.22	Blacks Power - Arua Hill	0:0 ✺
21.10.22	Wakiso Giants - Blacks Power	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLTL
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
22.11.22	UPDF - Maroons	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Vipers - UPDF	4:0 ✺
09.11.22	UPDF - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
04.11.22	Arua Hill - UPDF	3:0 ✺
25.10.22	UPDF - Wakiso Giants	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

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