Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium-Kitende (Entebbe)


	Vipers		UPDF

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.35	9
	1.29	4.62	8.12
	1.32	4.66	8.33	Watch
	1.37	4.15	7.6
	1.3	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.25)	4.41 ↓ (4.87)	8.21 ↓ (11.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vipers
68.6%

Draw
20.5%

UPDF
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vipers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Vipers - UPDF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Karisa M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Mulongo G. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Mulongo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 4 - 1, Kane R. ⚽,
74', 5 - 1, Ndhondhi M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vipers won 5.

Vipers is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UPDF's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vipers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vipers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vipers won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:6. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vipers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
29.11.25	Vipers - Villa	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Express - Vipers	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Vipers - Maroons	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Vipers - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Entebbe UPPC - Vipers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
25.11.25	UPDF - Villa	0:1 ✺
19.11.25	Calvary - UPDF	0:1 ✺
06.11.25	UPDF - Police	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - UPDF	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	UPDF - Maroons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
29.04.25	Vipers - UPDF	1:0
03.01.25	UPDF - Vipers	0:1
05.04.24	Vipers - UPDF	2:1
03.12.23	UPDF - Vipers	0:1
19.04.23	UPDF - Vipers	0:1
18.11.22	Vipers - UPDF	4:0
18.02.22	UPDF - Vipers	1:1

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