Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 17

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cromer Park (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Manly United		Blacktown City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.92	Watch
	2.16	3.74	3.05
	2.11	3.92	2.94	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.12	3.44	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	2.95 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly United
43.1%

Draw
25.9%

Blacktown City
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Manly United - Blacktown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Manly United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Manly United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly United
Australian NPL NSW
23.05.26	St. George City - Manly United	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Manly United - Wollongong Wolves	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Manly United - University of New South Wales	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Marconi Stallions - Manly United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL
- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
24.05.26	Blacktown City - Sydney Olympic	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Blacktown City	3:3 ✺
10.05.26	Blacktown City - St George Saints	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	University of New South Wales - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Blacktown City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
14.02.26	Blacktown City - Manly United	0:0
11.07.25	Manly United - Blacktown City	3:2
30.03.25	Blacktown City - Manly United	1:1
12.06.24	Blacktown City - Manly United	2:0
06.03.24	Manly United - Blacktown City	1:1
20.05.23	Manly United - Blacktown City	0:2
05.02.23	Blacktown City - Manly United	1:1

Manly United - Blacktown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide