The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. George City 17.6%
Draw 20.8%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers 61.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.8%
21.1%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.3%
20.4%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 1.
St. George City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
APIA Leichhardt is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, APIA Leichhardt is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St. George City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).