Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Morpeth Town		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.6	4	4.4
	1.68	4.16	4.34	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.61	3.9	4.51
	1.6	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.46)	3.94 ↓ (4.32)	4.56 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
56.8%

Draw
23.2%

Blyth Spartans
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.1%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

13.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morpeth Town's form might have worsened.

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Morpeth Town - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Morpeth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blyth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Morpeth is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Workington - Morpeth Town	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Morpeth Town - Matlock Town	3:3 ✺
16.11.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL
- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Blyth Spartans - Whitby Town	3:4 ✺
21.12.24	Hebburn Town - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Blyth Spartans - Prescot Cables	3:3 ✺
03.12.24	Blyth Spartans - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Blyth Spartans - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.08.24	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	1:4
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	Morpeth walkover
Club Friendly
16.07.19	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	2:4
English FA Cup
17.09.16	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	2:4

Morpeth Town - Blyth Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide