Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 20

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Blyth Spartans		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.96	3.37	2.34
	2.96	3.37	2.34
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.88	3.44	2.26
	2.9	3.3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.55)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	2.24 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
31.6%

Draw
27.4%

Chorley
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chorley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blyth Spartans - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2.

Recent matches Blyth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chorley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Blyth have a series of guest games.

Recently Chorley have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Blyth won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Warrington Town - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Southport	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	King`s Lynn Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTT
- Chorley
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Chorley - Darlington	8:0 ✺
11.11.23	Chorley - Peterborough Sports	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Chorley	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Chorley - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.02.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:2
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	0:1
English National League North
16.08.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	1:1
19.03.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	0:1
09.10.21	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	0:2
22.12.18	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:4
25.08.18	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:2

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