Match Info
National League North - Round 22Date: 20 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Victory Park (Chorley)
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 |
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 |
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Chorley |
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Hereford |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.05 |
3.5 |
3.15 |
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 |
2.04 |
3.87 |
3.04 |
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 |
2.05 |
3.91 |
3.07 |
 Watch |
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2.1 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.03 |
3.48 |
3.14 |
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2 |
3.75 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(2) |
3.59 ↑
(3.4) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chorley
45% | Draw
25.6% | Hereford
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Chorley - Hereford Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chorley (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Ellis M. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 1, Wilson M. ⚽,
- 66', 4 - 1, Walker T. ⚽,
- 85', 4 - 2, Williams A. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 20).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 2.In recent matches, Chorley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Hereford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Hereford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Chorley could have a small edge in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Hereford - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.89%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 23.08.25 | Hereford - Chorley | 1:4 | | 14.12.24 | Hereford - Chorley | 1:0 | | 17.08.24 | Chorley - Hereford | 1:1 | | 09.03.24 | Hereford - Chorley | 0:1 | | 28.10.23 | Chorley - Hereford | 1:2 | | 07.03.23 | Chorley - Hereford | 2:0 | | 06.12.22 | Hereford - Chorley | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
