The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scarborough Athletic 41.3%
Draw 29.5%
Chorley 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
26.8%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
26.2%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Scarborough Athletic - Chorley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 1.
Scarborough is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chorley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Scarborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Chorley
13
6
2
5
23:21
2
20
19
Scarborough
13
4
3
6
19:18
1
15
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.51%
Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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