Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.98
	3.05	3.75	1.98
	3.16	3.83	2.05
	3.14	3.58	2
	3.05	3.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.76)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)	2 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
29.7%

Draw
24.6%

Worksop Town
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Stockton Town - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Bencherif H. 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Thompson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Gallacher O. ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, Fowler M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Worksop is Qualified for NPL Premier Division (Play Offs )

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Worksop will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stockton Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.03.25	United of Manchester - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Stockton Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ashton United - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Stockton Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Matlock Town - Stockton Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWTW
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.03.25	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Warrington Rylands - Worksop Town	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Worksop Town - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Whitby Town - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Worksop Town - Stockton Town	2:1

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