Match Info

Date: 6 September 2020, Sunday


	Boa Esporte		Brusque

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.68	3.1	2.83
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.45	3.34	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.42)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boa Esporte
37%

Draw
29.4%

Brusque
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

20.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boa Esporte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boa Esporte - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation to Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs)).

Boa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brusque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.20	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:0 ✺
23.08.20	Boa Esporte - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Criciúma - Boa Esporte	3:1 ✺
10.08.20	Boa Esporte - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.08.20	Uberlândia - Boa Esporte	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.20	Brusque - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.08.20	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
20.08.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brusque	1:0 ✺
13.08.20	São Bento - Brusque	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Brusque - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

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