Match Info

Date: 30 August 2020, Sunday


	Londrina		Boa Esporte

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.65	3.1
	2.32	2.7	3.2
	2.52	2.72	3.42
	2.38	2.7	3.2
	2.44	2.91	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 (2.42)	2.74 ↓ (3)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
37.8%

Draw
33.5%

Boa Esporte
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Londrina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boa Esporte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Londrina - Boa Esporte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation to Serie D).

Londrina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.20	Ituano - Londrina	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:1 ✺
10.08.20	Londrina - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
23.07.20	Athletico Paranaense - Londrina	5:0 ✺
19.07.20	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTLT
- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.20	Boa Esporte - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Criciúma - Boa Esporte	3:1 ✺
10.08.20	Boa Esporte - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.08.20	Uberlândia - Boa Esporte	3:2 penalties ✺
29.07.20	Boa Esporte - Tupynambás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.08.18	Boa Esporte - Londrina	1:0
14.04.18	Londrina - Boa Esporte	1:0
04.11.17	Boa Esporte - Londrina	0:1
15.07.17	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:2

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