Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brusque		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.2	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.08	3.35
	2.22	3.02	3.49	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.31	3.04	3.25	Watch
	2.19	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
41%

Draw
30.6%

Ituano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Brusque - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brusque (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson 10. Joao Pedro 9. Marlyson 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos	1. Saulo (G) 11. Alason Carioca 5. Gabriel William 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Guilherme Xavier 3. Leo Coltro 9. Leo Passos 2. Lucas Mota 4. Matheus Mancini (C) 8. Richard 7. Thassio
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 18. Alvaro 20. Ariel 22. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 8. Jonatan Lucca 24. Leonardo Ataide 19. Macario 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 13. Pedro Medeiros 14. Rafael Milhorim 21. Renan	17. Felipe Muranga 20. Fernando Canesin 19. Gabriel Razera 14. Leandro Sergipe 21. Leo Souza 22. Lipe Gadol 12. Lucas Wingert (G) 15. Martha 18. Nelsinho 13. Victor Reis
Coaches
Higo	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Jeferson 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
33', Lucas Mota 🟨,
39', Jeferson ↓, Pedro Medeiros ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Cipriano 🟨,
68', Lucas Mota ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
75', Joao Pedro ↓, Ariel ↑,
75', Petterson Novaes ↓, Renan ↑,
75', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
82', Leo Passos 🟨,
83', Gabriel William 🟨,
86', Leo Passos ↓, Lipe Gadol ↑,
86', Gabriel William ↓, Victor Reis ↑,
87', Pedro Medeiros 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1.

In recent matches, Brusque has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ituano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brusque will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.26	Itabaiana - Brusque	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Brusque - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo PB - Brusque	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Itabaiana - Ituano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.04.25	Ituano - Brusque	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.24	Brusque - Ituano	1:0
22.06.24	Ituano - Brusque	1:1
24.09.22	Ituano - Brusque	2:0
11.06.22	Brusque - Ituano	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
11.01.21	Brusque - Ituano	4:2
21.12.20	Ituano - Brusque	1:1

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