Match Info

Date: 30 June 2021, Wednesday


	Brusque		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3	4.2
	1.81	3	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.5
	1.93	3.19	4.9
	1.91	3	4.33
	1.9	3.28	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	4.47 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
49.4%

Draw
29.9%

Brasil de Pelotas
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

30.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	16%	24%

Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brasil de Pelotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brusque have a series of guest games.

In this match Brusque is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brusque won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.21	Vasco da Gama - Brusque	2:1 ✺
22.06.21	Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
19.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Brusque	3:1 ✺
13.06.21	Avaí - Brusque	1:2 ✺
05.06.21	Londrina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTLWW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.21	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
18.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Goiás	2:1 ✺
15.06.21	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
27.08.20	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
12.03.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Brusque	0:1

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